A Deep-Learning Approach for Operation of an Automated Realtime Flare Forecast
June 06, 2016 Β· Declared Dead Β· π arXiv.org
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Authors
Yuko Hada-Muranushi, Takayuki Muranushi, Ayumi Asai, Daisuke Okanohara, Rudy Raymond, Gentaro Watanabe, Shigeru Nemoto, Kazunari Shibata
arXiv ID
1606.01587
Category
astro-ph.SR
Cross-listed
cs.LG
Citations
13
Venue
arXiv.org
Last Checked
3 months ago
Abstract
Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can experimentally measure the performance of flare-forecasting methods while confidently avoiding overlearning. We have been operating unmanned flare forecast service since August, 2015 that provides 24-hour-ahead forecast of solar flares, every 12 minutes. We report the method and prediction results of the system.
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