A Deep-Learning Approach for Operation of an Automated Realtime Flare Forecast

June 06, 2016 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› arXiv.org

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Authors Yuko Hada-Muranushi, Takayuki Muranushi, Ayumi Asai, Daisuke Okanohara, Rudy Raymond, Gentaro Watanabe, Shigeru Nemoto, Kazunari Shibata arXiv ID 1606.01587 Category astro-ph.SR Cross-listed cs.LG Citations 13 Venue arXiv.org Last Checked 3 months ago
Abstract
Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can experimentally measure the performance of flare-forecasting methods while confidently avoiding overlearning. We have been operating unmanned flare forecast service since August, 2015 that provides 24-hour-ahead forecast of solar flares, every 12 minutes. We report the method and prediction results of the system.
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