Gated Neural Networks for Option Pricing: Rationality by Design

September 14, 2016 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

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Authors Yongxin Yang, Yu Zheng, Timothy M. Hospedales arXiv ID 1609.07472 Category q-fin.CP Cross-listed cs.LG, q-fin.PR Citations 43 Venue AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence Last Checked 3 months ago
Abstract
We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of gated neural networks that automatically learn to divide-and-conquer the problem space for robust and accurate pricing. We then derive instantiations of these networks that are 'rational by design' in terms of naturally encoding a valid call option surface that enforces no arbitrage principles. This integration of human insight within data-driven learning provides significantly better generalisation in pricing performance due to the encoded inductive bias in the learning, guarantees sanity in the model's predictions, and provides econometrically useful byproduct such as risk neutral density.
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