Reconstruction of multiplex networks with correlated layers

The characterization of various properties of real-world systems requires the knowledge of the underlying network of connections among the system's components. Unfortunately, in many situations the complete topology of this network is empirically inaccessible, and one has to resort to probabilistic techniques to infer it from limited information. While network reconstruction methods have reached some degree of maturity in the case of single-layer networks (where nodes can be connected only by one type of links), the problem is practically unexplored in the case of multiplex networks, where several interdependent layers, each with a different type of links, coexist. Even the most advanced network reconstruction techniques, if applied to each layer separately, fail in replicating the observed inter-layer dependencies making up the whole coupled multiplex. Here we develop a methodology to reconstruct a class of correlated multiplexes which includes the World Trade Multiplex as a specific example we study in detail. Our method starts from any reconstruction model that successfully reproduces some desired marginal properties, including node strengths and/or node degrees, of each layer separately. It then introduces the minimal dependency structure required to replicate an additional set of higher-order properties that quantify the portion of each node's degree and each node's strength that is shared and/or reciprocated across pairs of layers. These properties are found to provide empirically robust measures of inter-layer coupling. Our method allows joint multi-layer connection probabilities to be reliably reconstructed from marginal ones, effectively bridging the gap between single-layer properties and truly multiplex information.