Party Matters: Enhancing Legislative Embeddings with Author Attributes for Vote Prediction

May 21, 2018 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐Ÿ› Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics

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Authors Anastassia Kornilova, Daniel Argyle, Vlad Eidelman arXiv ID 1805.08182 Category cs.CL: Computation & Language Cross-listed cs.LG Citations 26 Venue Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics Last Checked 4 months ago
Abstract
Predicting how Congressional legislators will vote is important for understanding their past and future behavior. However, previous work on roll-call prediction has been limited to single session settings, thus did not consider generalization across sessions. In this paper, we show that metadata is crucial for modeling voting outcomes in new contexts, as changes between sessions lead to changes in the underlying data generation process. We show how augmenting bill text with the sponsors' ideologies in a neural network model can achieve an average of a 4% boost in accuracy over the previous state-of-the-art.
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