Party Matters: Enhancing Legislative Embeddings with Author Attributes for Vote Prediction
May 21, 2018 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐ Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics
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Authors
Anastassia Kornilova, Daniel Argyle, Vlad Eidelman
arXiv ID
1805.08182
Category
cs.CL: Computation & Language
Cross-listed
cs.LG
Citations
26
Venue
Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics
Last Checked
4 months ago
Abstract
Predicting how Congressional legislators will vote is important for understanding their past and future behavior. However, previous work on roll-call prediction has been limited to single session settings, thus did not consider generalization across sessions. In this paper, we show that metadata is crucial for modeling voting outcomes in new contexts, as changes between sessions lead to changes in the underlying data generation process. We show how augmenting bill text with the sponsors' ideologies in a neural network model can achieve an average of a 4% boost in accuracy over the previous state-of-the-art.
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