Constraint-based Causal Discovery for Non-Linear Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Confounders

July 09, 2018 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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Authors Patrick ForrΓ©, Joris M. Mooij arXiv ID 1807.03024 Category stat.ML: Machine Learning (Stat) Cross-listed cs.AI, cs.LG Citations 62 Venue Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence Last Checked 2 months ago
Abstract
We address the problem of causal discovery from data, making use of the recently proposed causal modeling framework of modular structural causal models (mSCM) to handle cycles, latent confounders and non-linearities. We introduce Οƒ-connection graphs (Οƒ-CG), a new class of mixed graphs (containing undirected, bidirected and directed edges) with additional structure, and extend the concept of Οƒ-separation, the appropriate generalization of the well-known notion of d-separation in this setting, to apply to Οƒ-CGs. We prove the closedness of Οƒ-separation under marginalisation and conditioning and exploit this to implement a test of Οƒ-separation on a Οƒ-CG. This then leads us to the first causal discovery algorithm that can handle non-linear functional relations, latent confounders, cyclic causal relationships, and data from different (stochastic) perfect interventions. As a proof of concept, we show on synthetic data how well the algorithm recovers features of the causal graph of modular structural causal models.
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