A generalized financial time series forecasting model based on automatic feature engineering using genetic algorithms and support vector machine

September 18, 2018 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Network

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Authors Norberto Ritzmann Junior, Julio Cesar Nievola arXiv ID 1809.06775 Category cs.AI: Artificial Intelligence Citations 12 Venue IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Network Last Checked 4 months ago
Abstract
We propose the genetic algorithm for time window optimization, which is an embedded genetic algorithm (GA), to optimize the time window (TW) of the attributes using feature selection and support vector machine. This GA is evolved using the results of a trading simulation, and it determines the best TW for each technical indicator. An appropriate evaluation was conducted using a walk-forward trading simulation, and the trained model was verified to be generalizable for forecasting other stock data. The results show that using the GA to determine the TW can improve the rate of return, leading to better prediction models than those resulting from using the default TW.
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