Song Hit Prediction: Predicting Billboard Hits Using Spotify Data

August 22, 2019 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› arXiv.org

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Authors Kai Middlebrook, Kian Sheik arXiv ID 1908.08609 Category cs.IR: Information Retrieval Cross-listed cs.LG, stat.ML Citations 19 Venue arXiv.org Last Checked 4 months ago
Abstract
In this work, we attempt to solve the Hit Song Science problem, which aims to predict which songs will become chart-topping hits. We constructed a dataset with approximately 1.8 million hit and non-hit songs and extracted their audio features using the Spotify Web API. We test four models on our dataset. Our best model was random forest, which was able to predict Billboard song success with 88% accuracy.
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