Kernel Stein Tests for Multiple Model Comparison

October 27, 2019 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐Ÿ› Neural Information Processing Systems

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Authors Jen Ning Lim, Makoto Yamada, Bernhard Schรถlkopf, Wittawat Jitkrittum arXiv ID 1910.12252 Category cs.LG: Machine Learning Cross-listed stat.ML Citations 15 Venue Neural Information Processing Systems Last Checked 4 months ago
Abstract
We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given $l$ candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different notion of decision errors. The first test, building on the post selection inference framework, provably controls the number of best models that are wrongly declared worse (false positive rate). The second test is based on multiple correction, and controls the proportion of the models declared worse but are in fact as good as the best (false discovery rate). We prove that under appropriate conditions the first test can yield a higher true positive rate than the second. Experimental results on toy and real (CelebA, Chicago Crime data) problems show that the two tests have high true positive rates with well-controlled error rates. By contrast, the naive approach of choosing the model with the lowest score without correction leads to more false positives.
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