The Corrective Commit Probability Code Quality Metric

We present a code quality metric, Corrective Commit Probability (CCP), measuring the probability that a commit reflects corrective maintenance. We show that this metric agrees with developers' concept of quality, informative, and stable. Corrective commits are identified by applying a linguistic model to the commit messages. Corrective commits are identified by applying a linguistic model to the commit messages. We compute the CCP of all large active GitHub projects (7,557 projects with at least 200 commits in 2019). This leads to the creation of a quality scale, suggesting that the bottom 10% of quality projects spend at least 6 times more effort on fixing bugs than the top 10%. Analysis of project attributes shows that lower CCP (higher quality) is associated with smaller files, lower coupling, use of languages like JavaScript and C# as opposed to PHP and C++, fewer developers, lower developer churn, better onboarding, and better productivity. Among other things these results support the "Quality is Free" claim, and suggest that achieving higher quality need not require higher expenses.