Screening for an Infectious Disease as a Problem in Stochastic Control
November 01, 2020 Β· Declared Dead Β· π arXiv.org
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Authors
Jakub Marecek
arXiv ID
2011.00635
Category
physics.soc-ph
Cross-listed
cs.LG,
math.OC,
stat.ML
Citations
3
Venue
arXiv.org
Last Checked
4 months ago
Abstract
There has been much recent interest in screening populations for an infectious disease. Here, we present a stochastic-control model, wherein the optimum screening policy is provably difficult to find, but wherein Thompson sampling has provably optimal performance guarantees in the form of Bayesian regret. Thompson sampling seems applicable especially to diseases, for which we do not understand the dynamics well, such as to the super-spreading COVID-19.
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