Sources of Underproduction in Open Source Software

Because open source software relies on individuals who select their own tasks, it is often underproduced -- a term used by software engineering researchers to describe when a piece of software's relative quality is lower than its relative importance. We examine the social and technical factors associated with underproduction through a comparison of software packaged by the Debian GNU/Linux community. We test a series of hypotheses developed from a reading of prior research in software engineering. Although we find that software age and programming language age offer a partial explanation for variation in underproduction, we were surprised to find that the association between underproduction and package age is weaker at high levels of programming language age. With respect to maintenance efforts, we find that additional resources are not always tied to better outcomes. In particular, having higher numbers of contributors is associated with higher underproduction risk. Also, contrary to our expectations, maintainer turnover and maintenance by a declared team are not associated with lower rates of underproduction. Finally, we find that the people working on bugs in underproduced packages tend to be those who are more central to the community's collaboration network structure, although contributors' betweenness centrality (often associated with brokerage in social networks) is not associated with underproduction.