Optimizing PM2.5 Forecasting Accuracy with Hybrid Meta-Heuristic and Machine Learning Models

July 01, 2024 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐Ÿ› arXiv.org

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Authors Parviz Ghafariasl, Masoomeh Zeinalnezhad, Amir Ahmadishokooh arXiv ID 2407.01647 Category cs.NE: Neural & Evolutionary Cross-listed cs.AI, cs.LG Citations 3 Venue arXiv.org Last Checked 4 months ago
Abstract
Timely alerts about hazardous air pollutants are crucial for public health. However, existing forecasting models often overlook key factors like baseline parameters and missing data, limiting their accuracy. This study introduces a hybrid approach to address these issues, focusing on forecasting hourly PM2.5 concentrations using Support Vector Regression (SVR). Meta-heuristic algorithms, Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), optimize SVR Hyper-parameters "C" and "Gamma" to enhance prediction accuracy. Evaluation metrics include R-squared (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results show significant improvements with PSO-SVR (R2: 0.9401, RMSE: 0.2390, MAE: 0.1368) and GWO-SVR (R2: 0.9408, RMSE: 0.2376, MAE: 0.1373), indicating robust and accurate models suitable for similar research applications.
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