On Pairwise Quantile Regression -- Statistical Guarantees and Applications

July 05, 2026 ยท Grace Period ยท ๐Ÿ› UAI 2026

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Authors Romain Thรฉrรฉzien, Stephan Clรฉmenรงon, Fantin Girard, Hamza El-Abdouni arXiv ID 2607.04431 Category stat.ML: Machine Learning (Stat) Cross-listed cs.AI, cs.CV, cs.LG Citations 0 Venue UAI 2026
Abstract
Quantile regression provides a powerful tool for summarizing the conditional distribution of a real valued random variable (r.v.) of interest $Y$ as a function of covariates $Z$ in cases where it shows a large dispersion with high probability, going beyond the situation where standard least square regression is informative/predictive. This article aims to extend this methodology to the pairwise case, when the variable to be explained takes the form of a similarity function between two independent observations, such as pixelated ID photos, as input data of biometric systems) and the explanatory variables take the form of a pair of covariates of the observations, such as the age or the hair color. We establish theoretical guarantees for solutions of this statistical learning problem, considered here as empirical minimizers of a pairwise version of the pinball loss. Leveraging sharp concentration results for $U$-processes, we prove generalization bounds and identify mild conditions under which fast learning rates can be achieved. Confirming the probabilistic analysis, experiments based on simulation data also provide solid empirical evidence of the validity of the methodology promoted here for pairwise quantile regression. Finally, its usefulness from an application perspective is demonstrated by a detailed study aimed at analyzing errors in similarity scoring for facial recognition.
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